— 🇮🇱/🇱🇧 The Lebanese state is completely failing in its obligation to force the Israelis to abide by the ceasefire agreement.

The ceasefire has been violated for weeks, in almost every sense of the word, and in any other situation, Hezbollah would have responded by now. But the reality is, they are exhausted after more than a year of war, and in the new political environment in Lebanon their position is even more fragile.

Hezbollah needs to preserve the majority of its capabilities in case of a larger regional war, it needs to focus on rebuilding, it cannot afford to restart the war at this moment, especially with their supply lines uncertain and a threat from Syria simultaneously.

Besides, the entire reason for entering the war against Israel was to be a support front for Gaza, which doesn’t apply anymore. But it looks like the Israelis are perhaps looking to continue the war, both in Gaza and in Lebanon, emboldened by Trump.

@Middle_East_Spectator