Physical Address
Indirizzo: Via Mario Greco 60, Buttigliera Alta, 10090, Torino, Italy
Physical Address
Indirizzo: Via Mario Greco 60, Buttigliera Alta, 10090, Torino, Italy
The new geostrategic and economic changes, far from the illusion of the 1960s and 1970s of the War of the Blocs, imposed a cultural mutation of certain officials.
In this 21st century, networks relations supplanted personal relations between heads of state or ministers; And in the practice of international relations have no feelings but only interests. For many years, I have always warned the various successive governors in Algeria (see our various contributions available on Google.com), following my various international tours, that in this 21st century, that it was never necessary to make the error of opposing the common strategic vision, of the existing tactics, of the various cyclical tactics, to paraphrase military experts: – to oppose the USA High American officials of the State and Treasury Departments during my USA trip and concerns many other countries to name only some heavy goods vehicles, Russia, China and India, to oppose France to other European countries, in particular the 27, their reciprocal exchanges exceeding 60%, including Great Britain and largely exceeding 70% by including the Tensions between Algeria and France to oppose the various political currents despite their differences, existing a play of chairs between the Elysée and the current Minister of the Interior, because their common objective is to defend above all the interests of France, as Algeria must above all defend its own interests.
2.-In the conflict between Algeria to France, August 7, 2025, or live millions of Algerians, the most important community in Europe for historical reasons, the French president asked, European solidarity in application of the European solidarity clause introduced by article 222 of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (TFUE. This concerns the fight against illicit migration flows but Like the freezing of assets without justification of certain Algerian personalities, by the application of the ALBC regulation which is part of a wider set of laws aimed at reforming the European framework for the fight against money laundering adopted in June 2024, and for the strict case in France the non -renewal of resident cards for the relatives of Algerian leaders.
Several questions arise: these recommendations relating to Algeria will not be followed by European countries and will it affect the energy component where foreign currency revenues for more than 65% of Algeria from Europe, dominated by more than 95% by hydrocarbons, including Italy and Spain (heavyweight Germany in Europe being a minor customer of Algeria) main energy customers in Algeria? This will be added to the recent decision of President Trump to impose the purchases of gas and oil of 250 billion dollars per year where in 2024, the total invoice of EU energy imports amounted to $ 435.5 billion or around. 58% of its energy needs, which could impact Algerian exports valued at around 19/20% of Europe needs in 2024.
What will it be for the revision of certain agreements of the association and in particular the arbitration that the EU triggered against Algeria? What does he have for the future of the gray list where Algeria, which has just passed several laws to no longer appear there which was added to the gray list of the European Union, on June 10, 2025, concerning the money laundering and the financing of terrorism, list, established by the European Commission, identifying the third countries with strategic deficiencies in their regimes of fighting these activities? This addition meaning that Algeria is the subject of increased monitoring and must work to remedy the problems identified by the financial action group (GAFI 3. Also, without passion, it would be necessary to quantify to analyze the situation of power relations: the share of French exports and imports of goods and services within the European Union and the share of Algeria within the French commercial balance. Exports and imports towards France and vice versa; and the share of Algeria, the exports and imports of goods and services from Spain to France and vice versa and the share of Algeria in each of these countries (see Eurostat site where these in 2024), the intra-European trade decreased, reaching 4,026.9 billion euros, a drop of 2.2% compared to 2023 From 2023, trade in European Union’s property with the rest of the world reached a total of 5,077 billion euros, with 2,557 billion euros in export and 2.520 billion euros in import and that for the same period, according to international data foreign trade represents more than 24% of the European Union, France, more than 16% and Italy more than 12%.
For Spain, around 66% of Spanish exports are intended for the EU, while 52.6% of its imports come from EU countries, France, Germany and Italy being its main business partners within the EU. In 2024, intra-EU trade (that is to say the exchanges of goods and services between the Member States of the European Union) decreased by 2.9% compared to 2023, reaching 2,566.2 billion euros, or during the current course 4.362 billion dollar, according to the European Commission. The Europe of the 27 totaled a GDP of 17.941 billion dollars in 2024 for a population of 450 million inhabitants and by adding the United Kingdom which a GDP of $ 3645 billion for a population of 69 million inhabitants, or 21586 billion dollars, exceeding China (1.4 billion inhabitants), or about 21% of world GDP. We have respectively Germany with a GDP of 4.66O billion dollars for a population of 83 million inhabitants, France, a GDP 3.162 billion dollars for a population of 68 million inhabitants, higher than that of Africa estimated in 2024 to 3,000 billion dollars for a population exceeding 1.4 billion inhabitants, Italy for a GDP of $ 2.173 59 million and Spain, a GDP of $ 1.772 billion for a population 49 million. In 2024, according to the IMF Algeria, for a population of 46.81 million inhabitants, has a GDP of 267 billion dollars representing 1.24% of Europe of 27 largest Britain but 8.93% of the Africa continent, placing itself in terms of GDP per capita among ten African countries in the higher category of countries with intermediate income, but the GDP directly and indirectly being irrigated by public expenditure Hydrocarbon rent and this in triangularization the GDP matrix for more than 70%,
In conclusion, Algeria must develop all the adaptation scenarios, because to govern is to plan. Hopefully a constructive dialogue, because it is neither in the interests of Europe via France, nor in the interest of Algeria of a harmful escalation, both in prosperity and the stability of the Euro-Mediterranean region, and by ricochet, negative impacts on Africa, especially of the Sahel region.
Abderrahmane Mebtoul
University professor
International expert