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Such an alliance between the EPP and ECR will destroy the current EPP-S&D-Renew alliance as the S&D through Olaf Scholz warned VDL that they will abandon the alliance and not back VDL for a 2nd term.
Although such an alliance is unlikely because the EPP will NOT be able to form a majority with the ECR in the European Parliament which should be the goal of VDL and the EPP in order to be able to pass any kind of legislation.
The EPP has been allied with the S&D and Renew Europe (ALDE before 2019) since the first EU election in 1979. The EPP, a loosely conservative group, the S&D reuniting the social-democrat parties and ALDE, reuniting progressivist forces (now RE) have been dominating the European Parliament since 1979 and have ruled the EU since as they consistently were the 1st, 2nd and 3rd biggest political forces in the EU.
2024 is interesting in this aspect because it looks like that, at least Renew Europe will be overtaken by the ECR most likely in the number of seats, especially now that Marine Le Pen’s National Rally withdrew from the ID bloc.
In the context of Romanian politics this will be interesting. PNL and PSD are allied but they can end up supporting two different candidates for the next European Commission, PNL being in the EPP and PSD in the S&D. The biggest hypocrites however will be those in AUR, who, if this alliance between the ECR and EPP forms, will be obligated to support VDL for a 2nd term even though they pledged to oppose such an arrangement.
In the context of EU politics, Meloni and the ECR are nothing but a disappointment having failed to fulfill most of their promises related to immigration and the centralization of the EU and AUR who claims to oppose these things prefers to side with the ECR who betrayed its voters. If AUR wants to stick to their principles, they have to join the ID bloc.