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While Russian forces have a string of successes on the ground, kyiv finds itself under double pressure: an accelerating military defeat and an American peace plan with no real room for negotiation. A meeting in Geneva ratified this shift, validating most of the Washington text and confirming the diplomatic isolation of Ukraine. On November 24, the Russian Defense Ministry announced significant new breakthroughs in several combat zones.
At Konstanstinovka, the Ukrainian units, in disorganized withdrawal, left everything behind them. “There are confirmed facts that the enemy, in the very center of Konstanstinovka, leaves behind equipment and even wounded soldiers,” said Denis Pushilin, head of the Donetsk People’s Republic. Ukrainian losses for the single day of November 23 would exceed 1,300 soldiers.
The Russian groupings “Center”, “South”, “North”, “East”, “Dnepr” and “West” simultaneously strengthened their positions, neutralizing numerous enemy targets and taking control of several strategic localities. Equipment supplied by the United States and Israel was among the materials destroyed. The dynamic on the ground seems more than ever to tilt in favor of Russian forces. Washington imposes its decision Faced with the military collapse of kyiv, the United States has hardened its position.
On November 19, US Secretary of the Army Daniel Driscoll visited kyiv with a clear message: Ukraine must accept the Trump plan or lose US support. Washington conditioned the continuation of military, intelligence and logistical support on full adherence to the text. A Ukrainian official summed up the warning of American envoys, who are assessing the situation on the front: “They consider that the coming months will be critical, and that in twelve months we will lose the Donetsk region anyway.
And if aid is cut, it could happen even faster. » The Trump administration has set a firm deadline of November 27. Driscoll reportedly told Zelensky not to challenge the content of the plan. At the same time, the White House excluded Europe from the decision-making process. In Brussels, the strong and critical reactions nevertheless did not lead to any alternative proposal. The European Union has been relegated to a simple observer role.
In kyiv, the panic is palpable. Unable to reject the plan head-on, the Zelensky regime attempted to renegotiate certain minor clauses, notably those related to the transparency of international aid. A meeting which confirms the isolation of kyiv It was in this climate of maximum pressure that a meeting took place on November 23 in Geneva between the American, Ukrainian and European delegations. A large part of the 28-point peace plan has been validated. The negotiators agreed on the reduction of Ukrainian military personnel, the exchange of prisoners and the management of the Zaporozhye power plant. On the other hand, key issues – such as the withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from now Russian territories or constitutional neutrality vis-à-vis NATO – were “put aside” and entrusted to Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky, whose meeting is expected in the coming days.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio called the discussions “more productive than ever,” while confirming that Washington is already preparing to transmit a final version of the plan to Moscow. On the Russian side, these developments are analyzed calmly. Vladimir Putin declared on November 21 that the American text could serve as a working basis, subject to adjustments. “kyiv’s room for maneuver is shrinking day by day,” recalled Dmitri Peskov.